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2022 NFL MVP odds: Patrick Mahomes rising, Josh Allen fading and Joe Burrow lurking


The sphere is beginning to be trimmed down for the 2022 NFL MVP award as we push past Week 12 of the regular season. Here’s what you want to know with the newest odds from BetMGM within the race for the league’s top individual honor:

Top players to look at

QB Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs

The Kansas City passer continues to construct on his MVP lead. Mahomes’ numbers weren’t off the charts by his standard within the Chiefs’ Week 12 win against the Rams. He threw for 320 yards with one touchdown and one interception leading to an 85.4 passer rating, which is his third-lowest single-game rating this season. But he’s in a virtual tie with the Dolphins’ Tua Tagovailoa in Expected Points Added per dropback (via TruMedia) at 0.32 and ranks fourth with a 105.4 passer rating. Plus, Mahomes leads the NFL in passing yards (3,585) and passing TDs (29).

The Chiefs will face the Bengals in Cincinnati in Week 13.

QB Jalen Hurts, Eagles

Pardon the pun, nevertheless it’s not like Hurts is hurting his possibilities to win the MVP award each week. He just lacks the clout Mahomes has built through the years. Hurts pulled off his typical multi-faceted output within the team’s 40-33 over the Packers in Week 12. Hurts threw for 153 yards with two TDs and no interceptions leading to a 96.3 passer rating. He also added 157 rushing yards on 17 carries. The actual fact that is becoming more commonplace shows he has endurance. Hurts ranks third in passer rating this season at 105.6.

The Eagles will host the Titans in Philadelphia in Week 13.

QB Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins

You realize it’s going well whenever you’re pulled from a game within the third quarter along with your team winning. Tagovailoa threw for 299 yards and one TD leading to a 96.9 passer rating in lower than three quarters during Miami’s Week 12 win over the Texans. To point out what type of a tear the Miami quarterback is on during the last month, Sunday’s game versus Houston was the primary time Tagovailoa yielded a passer rating below 135.0 within the last 4 weeks. He hasn’t thrown an interception since Week 4 with 11 TD passes and no picks in a five-game span. Tagovailoa leads the NFL in passer rating at 115.7.

The Dolphins will travel to San Francisco to face the 49ers in Week 13.

QB Josh Allen, Bills

The Bills have bounced back their last two games, but each have been too close and Allen has seemed vulnerable for concerning the past month. Allen’s passer rankings in each of his last five games: 75.1, 46.8, 78.6, 100.4, 80.8. He definitely helped the Bills storm back on Thanksgiving against the Lions. He threw for 253 yards with two TD passes and one interception, together with 78 rushing yards and one TD. He’s still third within the NFL in EPA per dropback at 0.21, but ninth in passer rating at 95.2.

The Bills will head to Latest England to play the Patriots in Week 13.

QB Joe Burrow, Bengals

The Bengals quarterback continues to loaf around. A gutty win over the Titans in Week 12 likely helped his odds. Burrow threw for 270 yards with one TD leading to a 91.0 passer rating. He ranks sixth in EPA per dropback at 0.12 and in passer rating at 101.7. Burrow is tied for second with Allen with 23 TD passes in comparison with eight picks and third in passing yards with 3,160. Given the players ahead of him, Burrow still looks like a longshot or a sleeper for this award at this point. But he ought to be getting Ja’Marr Chase back soon. And one-upping Mahomes in a Week 13 matchup could bring Burrow closer to the pack.

(Photo: Denny Medley / USA Today)

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