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Best NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends


The 2023 NFL Playoffs are just around the corner! Some NFL fans may feel a little sad knowing their team’s season has ended, and others are excited as their favorite team is making a run at the Lombardi Trophy.

Either way, whether your team is at home or gearing up for the playoffs, we get another few weeks to watch the greatest sport in the world and try to make a few extra bucks before it’s all over.

If you are new to the gambling world and or are looking into betting on the NFL playoffs, you have come to the right place. Below we have outlined the best ways to bet on the NFL Divisional Games.

Betting Trends

Don’t Overvalue Top Seeds

The top seeds from each conference are usually overvalued once seedings are set. Many assume they must be the best teams because they have the best records. They also believe that they’ll benefit from an extra week off. That’s not always the case.

Since 2000 only 8 top seeds have gone on to win the Super Bowl. And during that same timespan, 13 top-seeded teams lost in the Divisional Round, including both #1 seeds in last year’s postseason. The Titans lost to the Cincinnati Bengals, while the Green Bay Packers lost to the San Francisco 49ers.

Avoid Teams After A Blowout Win

Betting the Divisional and Conference Championship games can be very misleading at first glance. Teams are just 7-27-1 ATS after scoring 40 or more points in the previous week.

Home-Field Advantage

Heading into the Divisional Round, you want to pay attention to home-field advantage. Teams playing at home in the Divisional and Conference Championship Rounds are 50-22 SU (69.4%) combined.

Tips & Strategies

 Shop For The Best Line

The average sports bettor only uses one sportsbook. Be sure to research the best betting sites to find which ones offer the best lines and odds. Some of the best NFL betting sites provide great bonuses as well.

By using more than one sportsbook, more often than not, bettors will get lines at least a half-point better than the average line. Shopping for that half-point will also allow you to move off key numbers 3 and 7 without laying the extra juice by buying that half-point. You can increase your long-term winning percentage by 2% by getting that extra half-point.

Avoid Betting Parlays

Parlays to sports bettors are like giant diamonds to jewel thieves. They are very appealing and will make you a lot of money, but the risk is very dangerous.

Parlays allow you to take two or more teams and combine them into one bet. If all bets win, the bettor wins a massive payout, but if any one of the bets loses, then that parlay loses automatically, and there is no payout.

Josh Appelbaum of VSiN explains it perfectly. “To put this in perspective, let’s say a bettor wants to risk $100 each on 3 NFL Moneyline bets. All three teams are underdogs: the Cleveland Browns +150, the Houston Texans +100, and the Cincinnati Bengals + 200. If you bet $100 on all three teams individually and all three won, you would win $450 total, plus get the $100 back that you risked on each team. But if you bet $100 on a 3-team parlay and all three won, you would win a payout of $1500.”

Don’t Bet Every Game

Just because there are fewer games during the playoffs, that doesn’t mean you need to bet every game. Continue going through each game and bet on the game or games that offer the best value. If you are a new bettor, select one game per day throughout the weekend. With fewer games on the board, you still need to stay disciplined.

Current Super Bowl Odds

  • Chiefs +350
  • Bills +380
  • Eagles +550
  • 49ers +600
  • Bengals +750
  • Cowboys +100
  • Buccaneers +2500
  • Chargers +2500

When it comes to betting on the NFL playoffs be sure to gather as much information as you can before betting on a game. Sites like Sportinbits provide the latest news and information for all NFL games. And after going through all the research and tips/trends, you cannot find an edge on a game, don’t bet on it. Don’t feel like you have to bet every single playoff game. Sometimes the best bet is the bet you don’t make. Enjoy the 2023 NFL Playoffs.

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