What type of performances can we expect on Saturday evening from , , and ? Follow along as our NFL betting expert, Nick Galaida, breaks down his three favorite NFL prop bets for NFL Saturday in Week 18
Week 18 of the NFL regular season will begin with a two-game slate on Saturday, featuring the Kansas City Chiefs against the Las Vegas Raiders within the afternoon time slot, followed by the Tennessee Titans against the Jacksonville Jaguars within the night cap. By this time within the 12 months, and particularly as kickoff approaches, much of the worth on the saturated markets (sides, totals) has been stripped of its value. As an alternative of forcing motion into efficient markets, bettors may find a way to seek out higher outcomes in the event that they turn their attention to player props. Below, we provide three recommendations to think about adding to your Saturday card!
Week 18 – NFL Saturday Player Props
- u95.5 rushing yards
- to attain a touchdown
- o17.5 pass completions
u95.5 rushing yards (-125)
When these two teams met in Week 14, totaled 121 rushing yards on 17 attempts. Nonetheless, he had the advantage of having on the sphere with him in that matchup, who threw for 254 passing yards and two touchdowns to open up the offense. Still, Henry had 50 of his 121 rushing yards on a single attempt, and was largely bottled up for the remaining of the afternoon against a good Jacksonville Jaguars run defense. Since Week 9, the Jaguars defense ranks sixth within the NFL in rush EPA, making them probably the most difficult matchups that Henry could face in Week 18. Though the Tennessee Titans will unquestionably try and emphasize a rested Henry on the bottom on this spot, it’s doubtful that they’ll find a way to get him to the century-mark against a tricky run defense that can find a way to stack the box against a quarterback without much ability to throw the ball down-the-field.
to attain a touchdown (-130)
The Las Vegas Raiders will feature the worst linebacker corps of any team within the NFL this weekend, with three undrafted players manning the center of the sphere. Curtis Bolton, undrafted in 2019, has played only two defensive snaps this fall. Harvey Langi, undrafted in 2017, played his first defensive snaps of 2022 in Week 17, allowing five receptions on six targets in his vicinity. Luke Masterson, undrafted in 2022, ranks 81st out of 84 eligible linebackers this season in defense grade, per Pro Football Focus. Last weekend against the San Francisco 49ers, he allowed two catches on three targets in his direction. This unit is prone to have a particularly difficult time stopping the very best tight end within the NFL on Saturday. Expect Kelce to seek out the tip zone as looks to further solidify his MVP case.
o17.5 completions (-125)
Last Thursday, accomplished 20-of-39 pass attempts against a Dallas Cowboys secondary unit that ranks within the top-10 in each opponent completion percentage and opponent yards-per-attempt through the air this fall. In Week 18, Dobbs could have a neater matchup against a Jacksonville Jaguars secondary unit that ranks fifteenth or worse in each of those metrics for the season. Since Week 9, Jacksonville’s secondary unit ranks twenty third in dropback EPA. Dobbs should find himself in a negative game script, which must have him throwing the ball steadily late in the sport. He should discover a technique to hit the over on this spot.
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