The 2022 Triple Crown will come to an in depth on Saturday with the 154th running of the Belmont Stakes at Belmont Park in Elmont. The race incorporates a field of eight horses, headlined by Kentucky Derby winner Wealthy Strike.
And although Wealthy Strike might be the headliner on this field, he will not be the favourite. The long-shot champion was the third alternative on the morning line with 7-2 odds.
In a small, relatively weak field, there’s actually a probability that Wealthy Strike — who will run out of the No. 4 position — can win his second race in a row, but at the identical time, we’re talking a few ridiculous drop in price for a horse that was 80-1 a month ago. Granted, that was in a wide-open, deep field featuring 20 horses, but it surely’s still quite a premium to pay on a horse that no one had heard of before the primary Saturday in May.
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Often, the primary query handicappers ask themselves before a horse race is what they wish to do with the favourite. Will they use the chalk or attempt to beat it? But it is a unique situation where the query becomes, what should punters do with the third favorite?
That’s because Wealthy Strike will likely garner significant betting attention after his performance at Churchill Downs five weeks ago. And there are a pair of colleges of thought in relation to what we saw with Wealthy Strike on the Kentucky Derby.
Wealthy Strike (left) is walked away from the track after a training session in preparation for the Belmont Stakes.Jason Szenes
The primary school of thought is that it was only a ridiculous outlier in a sport that throws one up from time to time — just often not in front of the worldwide audience the Derby attracts. Those that are bullish on Wealthy Strike would argue that the horse has continued to enhance throughout his profession and we shouldn’t assume that the celebrities just aligned for his stunner in Louisville.
It must also be identified that Wealthy Strike held off two strong contenders, Epicenter and Zandon, to win the Derby. There is no such thing as a query that on that day, Wealthy Strike was one of the best racehorse in a field filled with great racehorses.
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In all likelihood, the reply is that Wealthy Strike’s performance at Churchill Downs was an outlier. It was awesome and served as reminder why horse racing is a fascinating sport to observe and bet on, but it surely is unnecessary to bet on Wealthy Strike simply because you missed out.
As an alternative, yow will discover value on a few decent prices just like the 6-1 on Creative Minister or the 8-1 on Nest to tug the upset in a field that appears ripe for one. Creative Minister ran a game third within the Preakness and Nest has a practical probability to turn into the fourth filly to win the Belmont.
The old adage suggests that lightning doesn’t strike twice. And even when it did, wouldn’t you would like higher odds than 7-2? If you desire to strike it wealthy within the Belmont Stakes, look elsewhere than the Kentucky Derby winner.
