A gathering between Biden and Xi on the upcoming G-20 Summit in November is on the cards, and that may be an excellent opportunity for the U.S. and China to begin reengaging with one another, an analyst said.
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The USA and China have to reopen dialogue over the Taiwan issue — but such a conversation should happen discreetly, an analyst said.
The 2 superpowers are currently playing a “blame game” with one another, and dialogue must be reestablished, said Paul Haenle, who holds the Maurice R. Greenberg director’s chair on the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Cross-strait tensions between China and Taiwan have change into “increasingly dangerous” ever since U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s Taiwan visit in early August, he added.
Pelosi visited Taiwan despite China’s repeated warnings, prompting Beijing to launch military drills within the seas and airspaces across the island and fire ballistic missiles over Taipei in August.
On top of that, China announced in the identical month that it had shelved military and climate talks with america.
Taiwan is a self-ruled democracy, but Beijing considers the island a part of its territory and a breakaway province.
“The Chinese have pulled down the dialogue within the aftermath of Pelosi’s visit. I might argue, frankly, you bought to open it up,” Haenle said.
But U.S. President Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping have to avoid a public negotiation over the Taiwan issue, he added, “because whenever you put things out in the general public, and also you point to the opposite side and also you criticize and blame, it only works to dig in that side even further.”
“This has to occur at the very best level between political leaders and it has to occur in quiet discreet channels.”
China’s actions over Pelosi’s trip were an “overreaction,” and its aggressive stance against Taiwan continues to be a “major problem,” Nicholas Burns, U.S. ambassador to Beijing said on Thursday on the Milken Institute Asia Summit in Singapore.
“We have had a median line within the Taiwan Strait for 68 years, [and] it’s really kept the peace. They usually tried to erase that. We’re actually concerned that the party trying to vary policy here now could be Beijing. And we have warned them that we can’t conform to that, [and] we do not accept it,” he added.
China’s Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu told Chinese media in August that the U.S. and its allies are those overreacting.
“The US and its allies often come to the adjoining waters of China, flexing muscles and stirring up troubles. They conduct as much as 100 military exercises every year. They, as an alternative of another person, are those that overreact and escalate the situation,” Ma said.
Nevertheless, Burns said america hasn’t modified its position on Taiwan and continues to be committed to the “One China” policy.
“I actually don’t think the Chinese have any misunderstanding of U.S. policy. They do not agree with our policy, but we have been clear concerning the “One China” policy,” Burns said.
Though not one of the three desires to see a military conflict erupt, the viewpoints of america, China, and Taiwan are continually “diverging, not converging,” Haenle said.
Meeting at G-20?
Nonetheless, a meeting between Biden and Xi on the upcoming G-20 Summit in November is on the cards, and that may be an excellent opportunity for the U.S. and China to begin reengaging with one another, Haenle said.
“I believe at a minimum they should have a conversation and get a way of what steps either side is taking that is causing the opposite side the best concern,” he added.
“They should … look one another in the attention and have those conversations. They’re difficult conversations.”