Probably the most anticipated matchups of Wild Card weekend, Chargers at Jaguars features two of the NFL’s rising star quarterbacks – Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence. The spread at FanDuel Sportsbook is currently lower than a field goal, implying that we may get the exciting tight affair that each one neutral football fans are hoping to see. The Chargers have handled countless injuries this season but have been playing a few of their best football of late, despite falling to the Broncos in a largely meaningless matchup last day out. Meanwhile, Jacksonville is riding high from a memorable comeback win over Tennessee that allowed them to clinch their first AFC South title in five years.
Our experts have dug deep to research all points of the Saturday night showdown and supply Chargers vs. Jaguars predictions for you all, so let’s take a take a look at those alongside the chances at FanDuel.
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LA Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: 2023 NFL Playoffs betting preview
It’s hard to not just like the Jaguars, especially after their performance against the Titans per week ago. Jacksonville is a talented and well-coached team and can have gotten a few of its playoff-like jitters out within the must-win game against Tennessee. The important thing query, though, is that if the Jaguars have already peaked and are due for a little bit of regression on the actual playoff stage.
Trevor Lawrence has been acting at a high level during the last nine weeks, with the most effective touchdown-to-interception ratios within the NFL over that span. On the opposite side of the ball, many analysts view the Jaguars’ pass rush as the most effective unit on the sphere in most matchups. Having said that, they’ve also gone up against multiple below-average quarterbacks during their second-half run. Herbert is definitely above average, with the pocket awareness and mobility to no less than partially neutralize their pressure.
The Chargers offense has been revived with a healthy Keenan Allen and Mike Williams at wide receiver, but news broke on Friday that Williams is not going to be available for Los Angeles on Saturday after injuring his back within the meaningless Week 18 game against Denver. Even with out a key big-play goal like Williams, the Chargers will likely be facing considered one of the worst pass defenses within the league in accordance with DVOA, making it an appealing matchup for Herbert and company.
The Jaguars are mainly a pass-funnel defense, which also needs to help Austin Ekeler’s production out of the backfield, each rushing and within the passing game. The Jags also allow the fourth-most plays in football, meaning that Los Angeles’ offense may even see success moving the ball and maintaining possession.
Bosa’s return will definitely bolster a Chargers defensive front that ought to excel against a subpar Jaguars line. Even when Lawrence gets the ball out quickly and operates efficiently, we don’t foresee many explosive plays from Jacksonville on this one.
Chargers vs. Jaguars prediction: LA gets past Jacksonville
In probably the most fascinating matchups of Super Wild Card weekend, it’s easy to deal with superstar quarterbacks Justin Herbert and Trevor Lawrence. But as mentioned within the evaluation above, it might be other key position groups that play the largest role in Saturday’s night’s clash.
With Bosa back but Williams now ruled out, the spread has interestingly continued to maneuver within the Chargers’ favor. After opening around a pick ‘em (spread = 0), the road is now as much as Chargers -2.5 at FanDuel. In fact, no key numbers (like 3 and seven) have been crossed with that move, but there’s likely some smart money coming in on LA to proceed to push the road of their direction. Our experts agree with this line move, so their Chargers vs. Jaguars prediction is that the Chargers will earn a win on Saturday night by a field goal or more.
Our expert pick for Chargers vs. Jags: LAC -2.5 (-106) at FanDuel
The Chargers seem like a bit undervalued out there, while the Jags could also be overvalued after last week’s signature win in primetime. Many are enamored by the Jags, but their deficiencies have no less than partly been masked by the low-quality opponents that they’ve gone up against recently. They’ve won 5 straight, however the last three quarterbacks faced were Josh Dobbs, Davis Mills and Zach Wilson. The Jacksonville pass defense looks decent, rating seventeenth in EPA per drop back, but they’ve done it against the second-easiest schedule of opponent pass offenses this season.
The Jags have also let up the Eighth-highest yards after catch per reception and hold the Eighth-highest missed tackle percentage. Those stats are worrying on their very own, but when you think about how easy their schedule has been, it’s much more concerning.
Subsequently, we’re siding with the Chargers on Saturday night, and the present -2.5 line at FanDuel continues to be appetizing enough at lower than a field goal to make it our experts’ top pick.
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Chargers vs. Jags betting odds and latest lines
There are countless options in terms of Chargers vs. Jags betting odds at FanDuel. First, a take a look at the usual game lines for Saturday’s matchup.
Spread: LAC -2.5 / JAX +2.5
Money Line: LAC -138 / JAX +118
Total: Over/Under 47.5 points
All of those Chargers vs. Jags betting odds and latest lines can be found now for you at FanDuel Sportsbook, which can also be offering an important promotion where latest bettors can claim $150 in bonus bets after depositing $10+ and placing a wager of $5 or more.
FanDuel also has many player props for this game. Here’s a take a look at the prop lines for a number of the big-name players within the Chargers vs. Jags matchup:
Justin Herbert: Over/Under 245.5 passing yards
Trevor Lawrence: Over/Under 279.5 passing yards
Austin Ekeler: Over/Under 50.5 rushing yards
Travis Etienne: Over/Under 78.5 rushing yards
Keenan Allen: Over/Under 81.5 receiving yards
Christian Kirk: Over/Under 57.5 receiving yards
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