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Current NBA Players Hall of Fame Possibilities Based on Basketball-Reference Probability

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1. Dwight Howard

Dwight Howard in 2022.


Rick Scuteri/AP Images

Current team: Free agent

Years within the NBA: 18

Profession stats: 15.7 points, 11.8 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 1.8 blocks, 58.7% FG

Awards: 3x Defensive Player of the Yr, 8x All-Star, 8x All-NBA, 5x All-Defensive

Championships: 1

Other accolades: 2012 Olympic gold

Basketball-Reference Hall of Fame probability: 99.7%

His case: How much weight does the Hall of Fame give to a robust portion of a profession? From 2006-2012, Howard was a top-five player within the NBA, a perennial MVP candidate, and defensive stalwart who took the Magic to the Finals in 2009.

Nonetheless, back injuries, a reluctance to adapt his game, and a fame for tarnishing locker rooms caused him to skip around over the past seven years of his profession. He was traded 4 times from 2016-2019, didn’t make an All-Star team after 2014, and nearly fell out of the league until the Lakers gave him a shot in 2019. That gamble led to a championship, as he was a priceless reserve big man, a pleasant piece of redemption.

The primary 10 years of his profession were so dominant that he likely gets into the Hall of Fame easily, but an up-and-down second half makes it more interesting than it needs to be.

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