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Fantasy basketball suggestions and NBA betting picks for Monday


ESPN’s fantasy basketball and basketball betting suggestions cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our greatest intel and data to assist you to make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for November 21 are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice relies on ESPN 10-team leagues.

What it is advisable to know for Monday’s games

Fill Up The Poole: Jordan Poole is averaging 27.2 points and 4.5 made triples on the second night of back-to-backs since March. The skilled bucket getter has been held in check over his past three games (25 points on 30 field goal attempts), but recent history suggests that we must always be buying the dip and leveraging this high usage spot to profit on his overs.

It’s A Trap: There are a trio of huge home favorites (spread over six points) on tonight’s slate and people teams are all the time tempting to back. Watch out. Teams in such spots this season are only 33-38-3 ATS (46.5%) and their cover rate drops even further when the over/under fails to succeed in 225 points prefer it does within the Bucks/Blazers and Timberwolves/Bulls games (41.2%).

Orlando Outage: The Magic can be without Rookie of the 12 months favorite Paolo Banchero for tonight’s matchup against the Pacers as a consequence of an oblique injury, shifting more minutes and usage to emergent fantasy star Bol Bol. Despite leading the league in block percentage while also becoming a nightly double-double threat, Bol is rostered in only half of ESPN leagues. A projection for roughly half-hour tonight signals one other big line from Bol.

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Simons’ Show: The Trail Blazers won’t have superstar Damian Lillard available against the Bucks as a consequence of a recent injury. Scoring guard Anfernee Simons carried the offense on Saturday sans Lillard to the tune of a season-high 54 DraftKings points against the Jazz. Within your means at $7,400 on DraftKings, Simons is an intriguing constructing block for DFS purposes given what needs to be a 30% usage rate and well over half-hour of run.

Quentin Time: If the Knicks do not have Cam Reddish within the lineup against the Thunder as a consequence of a lingering groin injury, we could see Quentin Grimes (99% available in ESPN leagues) get one other start for Recent York. The second-year guard began on Sunday instead of Reddish and played a season-high 32 minutes, fueling a wealthy line that included a career-high eight assists. If Reddish stays sidelined this evening, Grimes gets one other shot to embed himself in Tom Thibodeau’s rotation.

Microwave Malik: The Jazz secured two big road wins in Phoenix and Portland over the weekend partially due to Malik Beasley delivering 28 points per game across the 2 victories. Beasley, a free agent in 55% of ESPN leagues, is making 43% of his 7.5 3-pointers per game and is even hotter from beyond recently, sinking an incredible five per game over his last five appearances. As one among the higher bench scorers within the league, Beasley is poised to provide against the Clippers tonight.

— Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe

Game of the night

Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers
7 p.m ET, Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, Ohio

Line: Cavaliers (-2)
Money line: Cavaliers (-135), Hawks (+115)
Total: 226 points
BPI Projected Total: 227.8 points
BPI Win%: Cavaliers (58.7%)

Questionable: Kevin Love, Caris LeVert
Ruled Out: Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who’re ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Breaking down the remaining of the slate

Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers
7 p.m. ET, Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana

Line: Pacers (-7)
Money line: Pacers (-278), Magic (+222)
Total: 226.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 233.7 points
BPI Win%: Pacers (72.9%)

Questionable: Wendell Carter Jr., Andrew Nembhard
Ruled Out: Paolo Banchero, Moritz Wagner (foot)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who’re ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Bol Bol (available in 46.4% of leagues) is a everlasting fixture on this spot until he’s universally rostered. It’s not a matter of “he’s been good since getting more minutes” or “he’s starting now”… he’s just good, at this point. For those who want numbers, he has averaged 18.0 PPG (55.2 FG%, 81.8 FT%, 43.8 3P%), 11.4 RPG, 1.8 BPG and 1.4 3PG in his last five games. But, at this point, just know he needs to be rostered and starting in just about every league. — Snellings

Best bet: Tyrese Haliburton over 30.5 total points + assists. Haliburton is some of the productive players within the NBA this season, and he’s consistent. In his past seven games, he’s averaged 19.1 PPG and 11.7 APG, and he’s gone over 30.5 total P+A in five of those seven games. The Magic are also friendly to opposing point guards, rating in the underside third of the NBA in each assists and 3-pointers allowed, while giving up 27.3 PPG (third-most within the NBA) to the position. — Snellings

Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls
8 p.m. ET, United Center, Chicago, Illinois

Line: Celtics (-6)
Money line: Celtics (-235), Bulls (+192)
Total: 230 points
BPI Projected Total: 227.9 points
BPI Win%: Celtics (73.9%)

Portland Trail Blazers at Milwaukee Bucks
8 p.m. ET, Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Line: Bucks (-9.5)
Money line: Bucks (-480), Blazers (+360)
Total: 214.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 229.5 points
BPI Win%: Bucks (79.9%)

Ruled Out: Wesley Matthews (hamstring), Khris Middleton (wrist), Keon Johnson (hip), Damian Lillard (calf)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who’re ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Shaedon Sharpe (available in 97.3% of leagues) moved into the starting lineup the last time that Damian Lillard missed prolonged time. The rookie primarily contributes in scoring and 3-pointers, but he does have upside with minutes. He’s scored in double figures in seven of the nine times that he’s played at the very least 20 minutes this season, including season-highs of 20 points and 4 3-pointers in 21 minutes last week against the Nets. Sharpe averaged 27.0 MPG in his 4 starts, the last time Lillard sat. — Snellings

Best bet: Josh Hart over 11.5 points, over 7.5 rebounds. Hart has been inconsistent as a scorer this season, but has stepped up the last two games that Lillard has sat or left early. He scored 17 points with 7 rebounds on November tenth against the Pelicans, and dropped 19 points with 8 rebounds on Saturday against the Jazz. He’s been strong on the glass all season, averaging 8.6 RPG in his last 14 games while going over 7.5 boards in eight of those contests. — Snellings

Miami Heat at Minnesota Timberwolves
8 p.m. ET, Goal Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Line: Timberwolves (-8.5)
Money line: Timberwolves (-355), Heat (+278)
Total: 220.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 229.2 points
BPI Win%: Timberwolves (70.1%)

Questionable: Gabe Vincent,
Ruled Out: Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who’re ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Max Strus (available in 76.4% of leagues) had a poor game on Sunday, when the Heat got drubbed in Cleveland. Nevertheless, the Heat proceed to take care of injuries and Strus has been one among their more consistent offensive sources this month. He has averaged 16.5 PPG with 3.2 3PG, 2.4 RPG, 2.0 APG and 1.1 SPG in 35.7 MPG within the month of November. -Snellings

Fantasy streamer: Nikola Jovic (available in 98.6% of leagues) quietly stuck within the starting lineup for the Heat on Sunday, though Bam Adebayo returned and played well. The Heat got blown out, but Jovic still contributed 7 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds, a steal and a 3-pointer in 32 minutes of motion. If he stays within the starting lineup tonight, he faces a far more fantasy friendly defense in Minnesota than he did in Cleveland. — Snellings

Golden State Warriors at Recent Orleans Pelicans
8 p.m. ET, Smoothie King Center, Recent Orleans, Louisiana

Line: Pelicans (-6)
Money line: Pelicans (-235), Warriors (+192)
Total: 232.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 233.7 points
BPI Win%: Pelicans (59%)

Questionable: Trey Murphy III (foot), Zion Williamson (foot)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who’re ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Best bet: Pelicans -6. The Warriors finally got off the schneid on the road, winning their first away game over the Rockets. But, the sport was very competitive until the very end against a Rockets team within the basement of the West. On Monday, against a significantly better Pelicans team, on the second half of a back-to-back, the Warriors could have an uphill battle so as to add a second win to the road talley. — Snellings

Recent York Knicks at Oklahoma City Thunder
8 p.m. ET, Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Line: Thunder (-2)
Money line: Thunder (-130), Knicks (+110)
Total: 230.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 225.7 points
BPI Win%: Thunder (51.6%)

Questionable: Cam Reddish, Derrick Rose
Ruled Out: Darius Bazley (ankle), Aleksej Pokusevski (ankle)
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who’re ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Best bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 30.5 points. Gilgeous-Alexander struggled from the ground in Memphis on Friday, making only 6-of-18 shots on his strategy to 15 points. But, Gilgeous-Alexander has been wielding the blowtorch all season, and in his 10 games leading as much as Friday he averaged 33.5 PPG on 57.6 FG%, going over 30.5 points in eight of those 10 games. On Monday, he faces a Knicks squad within the bottom-third of the NBA in points allowed to opposing point guards and shooting guards, indicating the relative weakness of their perimeter defense. — Snellings

Utah Jazz at LA Clippers
10:30 p.m. ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California

Line: Clippers (-3)
Money line: Clippers (-165), Jazz (+140)
Total: 223 points
BPI Projected Total: 227.3 points
BPI Win%: Clippers (56.9%)

Questionable: Paul George, Luke Kennard
Ruled Out: Mike Conley, Rudy Gay
Note: BPI numbers factored in players who’re ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Analytics edge

BPI highest projected totals

1. Milwaukee Bucks (119.5)
2. Indiana Pacers (118.7)
3. Recent Orleans Pelicans (118.1)

BPI lowest projected totals

1. Portland Trail Blazers (110)
2. Chicago Bulls (111.7)
3. Miami Heat (111.7)

BPI top probability to win (straight up)

1. Milwaukee Bucks (79.9%)
2. Boston Celtics (73.9%)
3. Indiana Pacers (72.9%)

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