We’re one way or the other already (nearly) one month into an NBA season that has made no sense in one of the best and worst ways, depending on who you ask. The sample sizes remain small, but there’s also enough motion within the books to attract just a few respectable conclusions about where the league currently stands. To take stock, here’s a way-too-early have a look at the NBA’s awards races—some real ones and a few made up. So without further ado …
MVP: Luka Doncic
Apologies to Steph Curry, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jayson Tatum, and Nikola Jokic, but Luka has had probably the most impressive begin to this season.
The historic, dome-peeling numbers will melt your face off. He averaged 34.8 points, 8.2 rebounds, and eight.1 assists with a 60.4 true shooting percentage through his first 10 games. Those averages were even higher before a pair (relative) flubs against the Magic and Wizards, but they’ve never been matched by any player in NBA history for a complete season.
Throw in a pair steals, just a few no-look passes that defy rational convention, and a bucket stuffed with post-ups that enervate and mortify whoever’s guarding him, and what you will have, ladies and gentlemen, is a generational player deciding it’s time to demolish whatever ceiling anyone previously thought he had. (Remember when Sacramento passed on Luka because certain people within the organization believed he was already nearing his ceiling? Whoops!)
He leads the league in scoring, PER, usage, win shares, BPM, and VORP with the very best true shooting percentage and free-throw rate of his profession. At any time when he runs a pick-and-roll that leads to him shooting or passing the ball, Dallas scores 1.28 points per possession, which is (1) nineteenth out of 123 players who’ve run at the least 50 pick-and-rolls, and (2) absolutely incredible considering Luka is initiating more ball screens than anyone else within the league.
However the stat that ought to most terrify the remainder of the league is the share of Doncic’s shots which are coming on the rim: 35 percent, which is up from 19 percent last 12 months. A bunch of those crafty floaters and in-between push shots he manufactured over the past couple years have now was bunnies. That is pure devastation.
Also, the brand new effort Doncic has shown on the defensive end is real and inspiring considering how the Suns treated him in last 12 months’s conference semifinals. Luka’s steals and deflections are up, along along with his general buy-in on the ball. There’s rather a lot to be enthusiastic about in the event you’re a Mavs fan, and plays like this must be at the highest of the list.
If Luka’s ridiculous numbers stay where they’re and Dallas stays within the hunt for a top-four seed, it’ll be hard to construct a greater case for another player. If his participation on defense is real, it might be not possible.
Honorable mentions: Steph Curry, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jayson Tatum, Kevin Durant, Donovan Mitchell, Nikola Jokic, Devin Booker, Ja Morant
Coach of the Yr: Will Hardy
A proof isn’t really essential here. The Jazz were 10-4 heading into Sunday night’s game in Philadelphia, with a first-year head coach and the second-best offense within the NBA. Their roster is filled with players the Timberwolves and Cavaliers not wanted. Little or no of it is smart. No coach is more deserving than Hardy.
Honorable mentions: Joe Mazzulla, Chauncey Billups, Gregg Popovich
Defensive Player of the Yr: O.G. Anunoby
There’s a probability O.G. Anunoby isn’t even one of the best defender on his own team. (Holy Koloko!) I don’t care. Anunoby is all over the place, doing just a little little bit of every little thing. The Raptors forward frequently assumes probably the most difficult assignments inside a scheme that may best be described as “organized confusion” and currently ranks within the top five in defensive rating with him on the court.
The person is a pickpocket ar-teest, snatching a league-high 2.9 steals per game. He’s also third in total deflections and recovers more loose balls per game than anyone else. Anunoby is a brick wall defending the post against those that actually test him—few hassle—and can sometimes unleash enough ball pressure on the perimeter to persuade you that the matchup is personal.
When the Raptors hosted the Hawks on Halloween, I used to be curious to see how Anunoby would act toward De’Andre Hunter, one other burly wing who had just received $23 million more on his contract extension than Anunoby got back in 2020. (Yes, the cap is higher now than it was two seasons ago but that’s still quite a giant difference!) Then stuff like this happened, (possibly) confirming my suspicions:
The fantastic thing about Anunoby is that he can do all of it. He’s each versatile and powerful. He knows when to thwart a drive within the gap and when to rotate back to the perimeter to force a drive. He’s a fire-repellant blanket, snuffing out sparks before they incinerate Toronto’s defensive effort. After all, sometimes he gets burned on closeouts, reaching for a steal, or freelancing off his man in quest of an interception. However the Raptors would have a much harder time playing how they need (blitzing the second-most ball screens per 100 possessions) without his impulsive activity.
Honorable mentions: Bam Adebayo, Mikal Bridges, Brook Lopez
Rookie of the Yr: Paolo Banchero
The no. 1 pick in June’s draft turned 20 years old on Saturday. He leads all rookies in points and rebounds, and is second in assists. If his current numbers hold, Banchero will probably be the primary rookie for the reason that merger to average at the least 23 points, eight rebounds, eight free-throw attempts, and three.5 assists per game. (Don’t sleep on those eight free throws: only seven players have attempted more in your complete league this season!)
This pick is a simple one.
Honorable mentions: Bennedict Mathurin, Keegan Murray, Jaden Ivey
Sixth Man of the Yr: Kevin Love
Listed below are Kevin Love’s per-36 minute numbers this season: 20.6 points, 12.7 rebounds, 4.4 assists, and 10.6 3-point attempts on 40.7 percent shooting from deep. As of Saturday morning, Love led the league in defensive rebound rate and was +99 in plus/minus, second within the NBA behind only Devin Booker.
His efficiency in a lesser role is off the charts, a story line that each aging star should listen to. The numbers are nice—his true shooting has never been higher—and he’s moving like he did before a buildup of several injuries almost ended his profession. However the little things are what make Love so priceless to a Cavaliers team that, in the intervening time, looks like a contender. He’s a five-time All-Star and NBA champion who’s played in additional big games than everyone else on Cleveland’s roster combined. That have matters, and helps explain why the Cavs are outscoring opponents by 15 points per 100 possessions when he’s on the court and get outscored by 0.3 when he’s not.
A few of that veteran savvy showed up late in the primary quarter Friday against the Warriors. After failing to feed Evan Mobley down on the block, Darius Garland gave up and reversed the ball to Love along the perimeter. In a single motion, Love caught the pass after which immediately lobbed his own entry pass to Mobley that looked rather a lot harder than it actually was.
At 34 years old, showing acute awareness of where he’s in his profession and the way he can benefit from it, Love is strictly what Cleveland needs.
Honorable mentions: Christian Wood, Malcolm Brogdon, Collin Sexton
Most Improved Player: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Two years ago, SGA was handed the keys to an Oklahoma City offense that was suddenly driver-less after losing Chris Paul and Dennis Schröder. He responded with a breakout campaign—a 23.7-point scoring average and deadeye 3-point shooting off the bounce—that was ultimately dampened by the Thunder’s race to the underside and SGA missing the season’s final 29 games.
What Gilgeous-Alexander is doing now, though, can’t be ignored. He currently ranks seventh in points per game, sixth in PER, first in drives per game, first in two-point baskets, tied for third in steals, eighth in win shares, ninth in estimated plus/minus, and seventh in usage rate on a would-be-tanking Thunder team that’s outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per 100 possessions when he plays.
SGA has at all times been a savant getting downhill, but his body control on drives to the rim is more advanced now than before. The best way he alters speeds makes guarding him feel such as you’re attempting to sip an open mug of hot coffee in stop-and-go traffic. All pump fakes, pivots, and sharp shoulders. His Euro-step might as well happen on a cloud, an airy hop into his teardrop floater. It’s this lithe combination of strength, deceleration, length, and unbridled creativity that makes stopping Gilgeous-Alexander’s progress considered one of this season’s hardest tasks.
If reports of him getting antsy in Oklahoma City prove true, several backcourt-needy teams with assets to burn (think Pelicans, Knicks, Heat, Wizards, Raptors, and … Jazz/Spurs?) could be very smart to take a position. Gilgeous-Alexander was really good coming into this season. Now he’s one of the crucial unstoppable scorers in basketball and thoroughly might be a frontrunner in the subsequent category, too, if he played for a team that wasn’t prone to be terrible by the point All-Star voting closes.
Honorable mention: Desmond Bane, Devin Vassell, Anfernee Simons, Bol Bol
Most More likely to Make His First All-Star Team: Desmond Bane
Not even one week into this season, I had already seen enough. Throw within the towel. Stop the fight. End the controversy. Ja Morant and Desmond Bane are one of the best backcourt within the league. Everyone knows what Morant brings to the table as an acrobatic All-NBA fireworks display, while all Bane has done is develop into a historically great shooter who annually turns his shortcomings into strengths. Bane’s rise is meteoric. His usage is up. His assist rate is up. His efficiency is up. His free-throw attempts per 36 minutes have greater than doubled.
The person is sort of averaging 25, 5, and 5. As a rookie, 82 percent of Bane’s baskets were assisted. That number is now right down to 55 percent, which is essentially due to his emergence as one of the crucial dangerous pull-up shooters in basketball. Bane is shooting over 45 percent from deep at considered one of the very best volumes within the league! It’s unfathomable.
And, much more importantly, he’s growing as a playmaker. In nine of the Grizzlies’ first 12 games he’s initiated at the least 10 pick-and-rolls, after only doing so in 18 of his previous 144 games. Those possessions have been bumpy at times, as he learns the best way to steer Memphis’ offense against opponents now focused on slowing him down. But easy plays like this—where he blows by Kevin Huerter with a fast hesitation dribble after which freezes Brandon Clarke’s man before hitting him with a pocket pass—show how diverse Bane’s offensive contributions might be.
Honorable mentions: Gilgeous-Alexander, De’Aaron Fox, Tyrese Maxey, Lauri Markkanen, Tyrese Haliburton
Saddest Team: Minnesota Timberwolves
The Timberwolves have several built-in caveats that ought to shield them from earning this distinction—like an unwell Karl-Anthony Towns missing most of coaching camp after their latest front office made one of the crucial shocking trades in modern NBA history—but they’ve looked more disorganized than even the most important pessimist could’ve predicted (Sunday night’s near monumental collapse against a Cavs team that didn’t have Donovan Mitchell or Jarrett Allen doesn’t encourage much confidence, either).
The Wolves are currently 18th in offense and twentieth in net rating, with a punchless starting five and an utter misunderstanding of how words like “sacrifice” and “selflessness” impact winning.
It’s a tad dispiriting whenever you’re 6-8 against the league’s second-easiest schedule, your most vital players aren’t on the identical page, and each other game seems to generate a calamitous blooper or foot-in-mouth statement about how the roster was constructed or what one other man likes to eat. There was one play during a recent loss where an incredulous Kyle Anderson barked at a moping Towns for not quickly inbounding the ball after he got scored on. The momentum from last 12 months is roadkill. Vibes this bad might be hard to beat and not using a potentially incompatible on-court fit.
The Wolves are being outscored by 4.61 points per 100 possessions when Towns, Anthony Edwards (who will almost definitely not make his first All-Star team), and Rudy Gobert share the ground. Those lineups can’t rating, which is an issue considering the exponential cost to place this group together. And when the primary two play without Gobert, Minnesota’s defense sets itself on fire. Gobert leads the league in rebounding and the Timberwolves are still considered one of the five worst defensive rebounding teams within the league.
There’s some good things. Jaden McDaniels is aggressive off the bounce, suddenly unafraid to dunk on people. Towns has already assisted 20 of Gobert’s baskets on the rim—nearly similar to Trae Young to Clint Capela. And their 3-point defense probably won’t be this bad all 12 months.
The Edwards-Gobert pick-and-roll has definite potential, especially when the strongside corner is empty. But their spacing is a piece in progress as they aim to strike the appropriate balance between offense and defense (i.e. plugging Anderson in for D’Angelo Russell).
Gobert is only shooting 61.6 percent from the ground, which is noticeably lower than his profession average. Now adrift from the comforting spread pick-and-roll system Quin Snyder built around him in Utah, he looks out of sorts. This shot was a cry for help.
Someone please give Rudy a compass.
In accordance with Second Spectrum, Gobert is barely setting 50.4 screens per 100 possessions, the bottom mark of his profession. (By comparison, he was at 67.9 screens per 100 possessions last 12 months. Now it’s right down to 45 screens per 100 possessions with Towns on the court and 60.9 when Towns is on the bench.)
The more I watch the Timberwolves, the better it’s to consider they need to’ve just drafted Walker Kessler—a rookie rim protector who, well, just have a look at what early on/off numbers say about his defensive impact—and called it a day. Why, again, did they should go all in on a polarizing center after losing in the primary round to a Grizzlies team that’s still significantly higher than them?
If the awkwardness holds, trading Towns throughout the offseason is Tim Connelly’s best and only path forward. As a substitute of constructing around KAT and Edwards, roll with Ant, Gobert, and the young pieces/draft picks you get back from one other blockbuster deal: The Knicks (and former Timberwolves executive Gersson Rosas) have a ton of assets and young talent they’d be pleased to fork over. RJ Barrett + Obi Toppin + Quentin Grimes + several draft picks is a reasonably good offer. If that sounds dramatic, I kindly invite you to provide you with a greater solution.
The Wolves gave up unprotected first-round picks in 2023, 2025, and 2027, plus a top-five protected pick in 2029, a pick swap in 2026, and several other rotation players who helped them make the playoffs last season … for a 30-year-old center whose best days is likely to be within the rearview mirror. There’s still loads of time for Minnesota to show its season around, but when this spiral continues, we’re a full-on catastrophe.
Honorable mentions: Miami Heat, Golden State Warriors, Los Angeles Lakers
Most Complete Player: Jayson Tatum
This label doesn’t mean Tatum is one of the best player on this planet. As a substitute, view it as a strategy to mark his remarkable development. It’s 12 months six and the fat has been sizzled entirely out of his game. No star has fewer weaknesses.
Tatum can shoot, pass, dribble, rebound, defend, read the ground, draw fouls, and rating from all three levels in myriad ways—posting up on the block, isolating on the wing, functioning in pick-and-rolls as each a ball handler and screener—at an elite level. He’s averaging a whopping 32.3 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game, shooting 50 percent from the ground, 59.6 percent contained in the arc, and 38.7 percent from 3-point range on 9.5 tries every night.
As a bona fide MVP candidate who would scoot past Luka on this very column if his supporting solid wasn’t so rather more impressive than Doncic’s—whose best teammate this season has been Spencer Dinwiddie—it’s all coming together. Tatum has touch, footwork, every ballhandling counter within the book, and a brain that seamlessly combines all of it without wasting any movement. He’s taking 4.4 more free-throw attempts than his profession average and shooting 81.4 percent on the rim.
Again, this doesn’t mean he’s “higher” than Doncic, Curry, or Jokic, but none are ever asked to protect the opposite team’s best player, or in a position to help (he’s currently averaging the identical amount of blocks per game as Jarrett Allen) just like the conservatively measured 6-foot-8 Tatum can. This doesn’t mean he’s higher than Giannis. But when defenses load within the paint, Tatum has no problem making a high-percentage shot by himself from the perimeter, then reliably making eight (not six) out of each 10 free throws. (It’s hard to consider another player higher than Tatum at once.)
Tatum controls games without dominating the ball. His fingerprints are throughout this four-point swing:
He enhances Boston’s actions with the selflessness of a star who understands when to impose himself on a game and when to show a defense’s aggression against itself.
At any time when healthy over the past few years, Kawhi Leonard was this guy, an all-around menace whose skill set was an ideal mesh of dominance and malleability. The closest thing to a create-a-player who turns every category as much as 95. Tatum has officially grabbed that torch, and at 24 years old continues to be recuperating. Nothing looks hard because he can now do every little thing so well.
Honorable mentions: Paul George, Kevin Durant, LeBron James