What’s Up? (June 12-18)
Largest Rate Increase Since 1994
In its most striking move yet to rein in inflation, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark rate three-quarters of a percentage point Wednesday, the central bank’s biggest increase since 1994. While taking questions from reporters after the announcement, Jerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, said officials were “not attempting to induce a recession immediately.” Nonetheless, that’s what many fear: If the Fed’s efforts to tame rising prices and tamp down demand go too far, the bank could touch off a serious economic slowdown, forcing businesses to shut and sending unemployment numbers back up. And the Fed has shown no signs of adjusting its path. The rise on Wednesday could possibly be followed by a similarly large one next month. Mr. Powell is more likely to face tough questions on this and other Fed actions when he appears before lawmakers within the House and Senate this week.
Rocky Week for the Markets
The S&P 500 was up barely on Friday, but that was small comfort to investors because the S&P had its worst weekly performance since March 2020. Stocks fell right into a bear market on Monday, as investors anxiously anticipated the Fed’s rate increases and dragged the S&P greater than 20 percent below its most up-to-date peak in January. When the Fed finally did announce its decision, investors appeared largely unsurprised, and the markets stayed fairly regular that day. But stocks fell sharply on Thursday and remain on shaky ground. And it was perhaps an excellent worse week for cryptocurrency markets, as prices continued to collapse and crypto corporations cut staff. The value of Bitcoin fell below $20,000 for the primary time since late 2020. Coinbase said it was shedding 18 percent of its employees on the heels of cuts at other crypto corporations, including Gemini and BlockFi. Celsius, an experimental crypto bank, announced it was halting withdrawals “attributable to extreme market conditions.”
A Cosmetics Giant within the Red
Revlon, a staple in bathroom cabinets because the Great Depression, filed for bankruptcy protection last week, an indication of the shifting landscape for cosmetic brands and potential trouble ahead for retailers. But the corporate has been in dire straits for a while: At the start of the pandemic, Revlon said it could cut 1,000 positions in hopes of constructing itself more profitable. Months later, though, it narrowly avoided bankruptcy by striking a take care of its debt holders. But with $3.8 billion in debt, supply chain troubles and lots of competition from recent makeup brands, Revlon finally buckled under the pressure.
What’s Next? (June 19-25)
Headwinds for the Housing Market
Real estate brokerages see trouble on the horizon. Last week, Redfin and Compass announced major cuts to staff, with the heads of each corporations hinting at anxieties concerning the economic outlook. Glenn Kelman, Redfin’s chief executive, told employees in an email that demand was 17 percent lower and that job cuts would hit about 8 percent of the corporate’s work force. And Compass said it was shedding 10 percent of its employees “attributable to the clear signals of slowing economic growth.” In one other harbinger of a possible downturn for the housing market, mortgage rates jumped to five.78 percent, climbing at their fastest pace last week since 1987.
Elon Musk’s Vision for Twitter
Last week, Elon Musk did something remarkably standard for somebody who’s acquiring an organization: He met with Twitter’s staff. After all, the meeting had been a protracted time coming. Mr. Musk was presupposed to take questions from employees after he joined Twitter’s board in April, but those plans modified when he decided to purchase the corporate as a substitute. Through the hourlong Q. and A. session, Mr. Musk laid out his vision for the corporate, saying he desired to grow the platform to “at the very least a billion” Twitter users and that he expected to be fairly hands-on. He reiterated criticisms concerning the amount of bot accounts on Twitter, the crux of his recent hand-wringing over the deal, though his acquisition of Twitter continues to maneuver ahead. Experts said his meeting with employees could help reassure potential investors if the deal goes through.
Biden Considers Easing Tariffs
As stubbornly high inflation threatens to guide to losses for the Democrats in midterm elections in November, President Biden is weighing the opportunity of rolling back some tariffs that former President Donald J. Trump imposed on Chinese goods. Mr. Biden had said that he intended to rely totally on the Fed to tame rising prices, but because the president comes under pressure from business groups and out of doors economists — in addition to a frustrated public — he’s considering taking motion himself. Some private estimates throughout the White House say lifting the tariffs could reduce the general inflation rate by 1 / 4 of a percentage point. However the move could harm other elements of the administration’s economic agenda and spur criticism that Mr. Biden is being too easy on Beijing.
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What’s inflation? Inflation is a loss of buying power over time, meaning your dollar won’t go as far tomorrow because it did today. It is usually expressed because the annual change in prices for on a regular basis goods and services akin to food, furniture, apparel, transportation and toys.
What causes inflation? It could possibly be the results of rising consumer demand. But inflation also can rise and fall based on developments which have little to do with economic conditions, akin to limited oil production and provide chain problems.
Is inflation bad? It relies on the circumstances. Fast price increases spell trouble, but moderate price gains can result in higher wages and job growth.
Can inflation affect the stock market? Rapid inflation typically spells trouble for stocks. Financial assets generally have historically fared badly during inflation booms, while tangible assets like houses have held their value higher.
Lots of of automobile crashes in the USA over 10 months involved vehicles using advanced driver-assistance technology, a federal agency found. McDonald’s can pay $1.3 billion in fines and back taxes to settle a longtime tax dispute in France. German officials are urging residents to conserve energy as Russia reduces its flow of natural gas to Europe.