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Thursday Night Football odds, spread, line: Patriots vs. Bills predictions, NFL picks from expert on 16-7 roll

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Week 13 of the 2022 NFL schedule kicks off when the Latest England Patriots host the AFC rival Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football =at Gillette Stadium. The Bills (8-3) are tied for the lead within the AFC East standings with Miami and can attempt to earn their first win over an AFC East team this season. Meanwhile, the Patriots (6-5) are in last place within the division, but just two games behind the co-leaders. Latest England has lost the last two meetings against the Bills and 4 of the last five.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET. Buffalo is a four-point favorite in the most recent Patriots vs. Bills odds from Caesars Sportsbook while the over/under for total points scored is 44. Before you make any Bills vs. Patriots picks, make sure you take a look at the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s resident Patriots expert and data scientist, Stephen Oh.

The renowned co-founder of Accuscore, Oh simulates each game 10,000 times using the SportsLine projection model. Last season, he went 97-81-1 on his NFL picks. And he’s on a tremendous run in games involving the Patriots. Oh is 16-7 along with his last 23 against-the-spread picks involving Latest England.

Now, Oh has zeroed in on Bills vs. Patriots and just locked in his picks and TNF predictions. You’ll be able to head to SportsLine now to see Oh’s picks. Now, listed below are several NFL odds and betting lines and trends for Patriots vs. Bills:

  • Patriots vs. Bills spread: Buffalo -4
  • Patriots vs. Bills over/under: 44 points 
  • Patriots vs. Bills money line: Buffalo -215, Latest England +180
  • BUF: Bills rank second within the league in scoring offense (28.1 points per game) 
  • NE: Matthew Judon leads the NFL in sacks (13) 
  • Patriots vs. Bills picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Latest England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills

Why the Bills can cover

Buffalo is a top-five team on either side of the ball. Led by quarterback Josh Allen, the offense ranks second within the NFL in each yards per game (415.9) and points per game (28.1). On defense, the Bills rank fifth in points per game (18.1).

As well as, Allen has had success against Latest England recently. The 26-year-old has a 13:0 touchdown-to-interception ratio in his last 4 meetings against the Patriots, including the playoffs. The Bills went 3-1 over those 4 games, scoring 32.0 points per game. See which team to choose here.

Why the Patriots can cover

Latest England faces a quarterback who has struggled within the passing game recently. Bills signal-caller Josh Allen, who injured his elbow in Week 9 against the Jets, has had a passer rating of lower than 81.0 in 4 of his last five games. Last week against Detroit, he averaged just 6.0 yards per attempt and earned a passer rating of 80.8.

That bodes well for a Patriots pass defense that has been excellent this season. The defense leads the league in completion percentage allowed (58.4) and ranks third in passer rating allowed (78.8). Latest England also ranks in the highest 10 in yards per attempt allowed (6.72) and interceptions (12). See which team to choose here.

How one can make Bills vs. Patriots picks

Now, Oh has broken down Patriots vs. Bills from every angle. He’s leaning Over on the purpose total, and he has discovered an important x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. He’s only sharing what it’s, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Bills vs. Patriots on Thursday Night Football? And what critical factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bills vs. Patriots spread you need to jump on, all from the NFL expert who’s 16-7 on against-the-spread picks involving Latest England, and discover.

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