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Today’s Best NBA Player Prop Bets, Picks & Predictions

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NBA Thursday slate is smaller in volume (4 games) but has two great matchups in Bucks vs Grizzlies and Suns vs Clippers. The Clippers and Miami Heat are each on a back-to-back, which is price mentioning. Jrue Holiday will likely be missing from the Bucks lineup tonight and the Miami Heat have greater than half the team on the injury report. It should be interesting, but let’s see if we will find some value within the player prop market.

Try all of our NBA picks for tonight

 

Ja Morant (MEM) over 33.5 points + rebounds (-122)

Line available at Fanduel Sportsbook on the time of publishing.

Morant is averaging 33.5 PRA for the month of December and has seen his rebounds figures increase every month for the reason that start of the season. The Bucks are allowing the sixth most RPG to opposing PGs over the past 7 games, and their rotations are in flux in the intervening time as they struggle to reintroduce Middleton into the lineup while coping with Holiday out of the lineup. Jevon Carter and Grayson Allen pose little threat to Morant in halfcourt scoring situations, so I expect him to be more aggressive on the scoring side than seeking to defend against a protracted frontcourt of Giannis, Lopez, and Portis. In a single game against Milwaukee last season, Morant had 33 points and eight rebounds against essentially the identical squad.

Morant needs to be well rested having not played since December ninth, and when getting 3+ days rest, he’s averaging 35P+6R. In defensive situations, Morant can make the most of Jevon Carter and provides himself more rebound opportunities than normal as Carter is averaging a pedestrian 9PPG as a starter and 3FGA per game in catch and shoot situations. 1U

Don’t miss our Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions

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