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Warriors vs. Celtics prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, Jan. 19 best bets from proven model


Two of the NBA’s flagship franchises square off on Thursday evening in front of a national audience. The Boston Celtics host the Golden State Warriors at TD Garden, with Boston entering on a seven-game winning streak. The Celtics are 33-12 overall and 17-5 at home, with the Warriors bringing a 22-22 overall mark. Jaylen Brown (adductor) is listed as questionable for Boston. Jonathan Kuminga (foot), Andre Iguodala (hip), JaMychal Green (leg), and James Wiseman (ankle) are out for Golden State.

Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Boston. Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston because the 6-point home favorite, while the over/under, or total variety of points Vegas thinks will likely be scored, is 236 in the newest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. Before making any Celtics vs. Warriors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a shocking 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning greater than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Celtics and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You may head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Listed here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Celtics vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Celtics spread: Celtics -6
  • Warriors vs. Celtics over/under: 236 points
  • Warriors vs. Celtics money line: Celtics -250, Warriors +205
  • GSW: The Warriors are 5-16 against the spread in road games
  • BOS: The Celtics are 13-9 against the spread in home games
  • Warriors vs. Celtics picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Warriors can cover

The Warriors are keyed by Stephen Curry, who’s coming off a 41-point game against the Washington Wizards on Monday. Curry leads the NBA in 3-pointers per game (4.9) and he’s averaging 29.3 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game. He’s the largest reason Golden State leads the league in 3-pointers (16.3 per game), and the Warriors are No. 1 within the NBA in assists (29.3 per game) and assist percentage (68.9%). 

The Warriors are firmly in the highest 10 of the NBA in free throw accuracy, 2-point accuracy and 3-point accuracy, and Golden State generates almost 15 fast-break points per game. Boston is in the underside five of the NBA in turnover creation (13.1 per game) on defense, and the Celtics are dead-last within the league with 6.4 steals per game. On defense, Golden State can be feisty, with the Warriors creating 14.9 turnovers per game and holding opponents to lower than 47% shooting from the sphere.

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston is the league’s best offensive team this season, scoring 117.8 points per 100 possessions. The Celtics lead the NBA in free throw accuracy at 83.2%, and Boston is in the highest eight in each 3-point accuracy (37.1%) and 2-point accuracy (57.5%). Boston moves the ball effectively with 26.9 assists per game, a top-five figure, and the Celtics commit only 13.3 turnovers per game. Golden State allows more free throw attempts (26.2 per game) than any team within the league on defense, and Boston also brings an elite defense to the table. 

The Celtics lead the NBA in three major categories, giving up only 20.7 free throw attempts per game, producing a 74.4% defensive rebound rate, and allowing only 22.6 assists per game. Boston can be facing a Golden State team that’s dead-last in free throw creation on offense, and the Warriors commit 16.7 turnovers per game. Boston rounds out its defensive approach with 5.4 blocked shots per game and opponents are shooting only 53.4% contained in the arc against the Celtics.

Easy methods to make Celtics vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the whole, projecting 244 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations. You may only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread it’s worthwhile to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and discover.

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