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Which 2022 Mets preseason predictions got here true?

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Delivering insights on all things Amazin’s

Join for Contained in the Mets by Mike Puma, exclusively on Sports+

Each spring training, our Post editors ask us to preview the Mets’ season and discover the team’s strengths and weaknesses while adding our own predictions.

Normally these previews are well-received, but in addition long forgotten by the season’s conclusion. Not this yr. It is a recent era of accountability, and we’re all for it.

So let’s take a take a look at what we projected for these 101-win Mets before the season began and see the way it ended.

Most significant hitter

What we wrote: Francisco Lindor’s contract extension, price $341 million over 10 seasons, is about to begin. Simply, the Mets need Lindor to revert to the shape last seen from him in 2019, when he posted a .854 OPS. Lindor has actually regressed in each season since 2018, when he reached his peak with Cleveland.

Francisco Lindor rebounded from a disappointing first season with the Mets to complete with 107 RBIs, the fifth-most within the majors.Jason Szenes

Post-script: We were close on this one. Ultimately, Pete Alonso was probably the team’s most vital hitter based on the ability element he brought with 40 homers and 131 RBIs, but Lindor had a powerful rebound season for the Mets, posting a .788 OPS while bringing consistency to the lineup.

Most significant pitcher

What we wrote: The Mets’ season began plummeting last yr once Jacob deGrom hit the injured list to start the second half. To that time, the ace right-hander was having a season for the ages, with a 1.08 ERA in 15 starts … Even with Max Scherzer’s arrival, if the Mets are going to have a season that leads to plentiful October baseball, they are going to need deGrom back for a giant chunk, healthy and acting at his standard level.

Post-script: DeGrom was actually vital, but we’re not so sure he was the Mets’ most important pitcher this season. That distinction probably belonged to Edwin Diaz, who had an epic season within the closer’s role, striking out 118 batters in 62 innings with a 1.31 ERA. The sounds of Blasterjaxx and Timmy Trumpet’s “Narco” at Citi Field often signified a door slamming on the opposition.

Can have an even bigger yr than expected

What we wrote: J.D. Davis has turn into something of a forgotten man after a hand injury sidelined him for much of last season after which affected his productivity upon his return. But Davis still has a sweet swing and will provide juice from the DH spot and backing up at third base.

New York Mets first baseman Darin Ruf (28) flips this bat after he is walked during the 6th inning at Citi Field. Friday, August 26, 2022.Darin Ruf has not helped the Mets’ lineup since arriving from the Giants on the trade deadline.Noah K. Murray

Post-script: Swing and a miss. Davis never got rolling, and his playing time diminished before he was dealt to the Giants on the trade deadline. Darin Ruf arrived in that deal and was a good larger disappointment for the Mets, leaving a gaping hole from the correct side that prompted the Mets to present DH opportunities to Mark Vientos and Francisco Alvarez.

More than likely to disappoint

What we wrote: Robinson Cano is coming off a second PED suspension — this one cost him all of last season. He’s 39 years old and already has much of the fan base turned against him, as a reminder of the trade that sent top prospect Jarred Kelenic to Seattle before the 2019 season, plus Cano’s PED infractions. … The Mets have Jeff McNeil to play second base and Dominic Smith as a lefty DH option, so Cano won’t just be rolled out each day if he isn’t producing.

Post-script: Bingo. Cano struggled and got released by the Mets in May. He had temporary stints with the Padres and Braves, but likely has played his last major league game. The Mets still owe him $20 million for next season in the ultimate yr of his contract.

Key call-up

What we wrote: Tylor Megill helped save the Mets’ rotation last season and can likely be a very important arm again this yr. Whether it’s filling in for deGrom early within the season or taking one other rotation spot later, the Mets need him.

New York Mets starting pitcher David Peterson (23) pitches in the sixth inning when the New York Mets played the Atlanta Braves in the first game of a split doubleheader Saturday, Aug. 6, 2022, at Citi Field in Queens. David Peterson held opposing hitters to a .236 batting average in 19 starts this season.Robert Sabo

Post-script: Megill was on the correct track before hitting the injured list in May. After his return, he struggled after which returned to the IL for an prolonged stay. David Peterson was the more significant call-up for the Mets. The left-hander pitched to a 3.83 ERA in 28 appearances, and helped keep the rotation afloat with deGrom and Scherzer on the IL.

Biggest managerial decision

What we wrote: Over time Buck Showalter has earned a popularity as a manager expert in handling the bullpen. The Mets have several talented arms within the bullpen this season, but it is going to be Showalter’s job to assemble the pieces.

Post-script: The bullpen continues to be a puzzle. Adam Ottavino and Seth Lugo were dependable arms leading into Diaz, but there was more uncertainty than the Mets would have liked.

Don’t be surprised if

What we wrote: Tomas Nido splits time behind the plate with James McCann this season or becomes the starting catcher altogether. Nido has improved offensively in recent seasons and his pitch-framing skills remain superb.

Post-script: Nailed it.

Tomas Nido #3 of the New York Mets catches against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on May 11, 2022 in Washington, DC.Tomas Nido threw out 20.6 percent of players attempting to steal this season, a profession high.Getty Images

Sure to make fans grumble

What we wrote: The Mets are banking heavily on Brandon Nimmo to anchor the outfield. But together with his penchant for injuries, Nimmo also presents a risk. If he needs an prolonged stay on the injured list, a big segment of fans will undoubtedly wonder why the team didn’t re-sign Michael Conforto. The Mets even have veteran legs in Starling Marte and Mark Canha and would favor not to wish Smith or McNeil to play the outfield for an prolonged stretch.

Post-script: Nimmo stayed healthy, and Conforto remained unsigned after undergoing shoulder surgery.

Will make the playoffs if

What we wrote: DeGrom returns from the IL and combines with Scherzer for at the least 45 starts.

Post-script: DeGrom and Scherzer combined for just 34 starts, and the Mets still easily reached the postseason.

Will miss the playoffs if

What we wrote: The front office is searching the scrap heap for arms by June and last yr’s underachievers within the lineup (led by Lindor) haven’t gotten their acts together.

Post-script: Trevor Williams and Peterson were solid plugging rotation holes, ensuring the Mets didn’t must dumpster-dive for pitching. Lindor played at a high level.

Injury that may hurt essentially the most

Edwin Diaz pitches on Thursday during the Mets' win over the Dodgers.A dominant Edwin Diaz proved to be the Mets’ most indispensable arm amid injuries to co-aces Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer.Robert Sabo

What we wrote: They’ve already found it. If the Mets have any form of aura, it’s from deGrom standing on the mound every fifth day.

Post-script: The Mets survived deGrom’s absence. Losing Diaz would have sent the Mets right into a tailspin.

Every game matters

The Mets, in losing the NL East to the Braves in a tiebreaker, have only themselves accountable after failing to win a game in Atlanta last weekend. That said, it hasn’t gone unnoticed that the Braves had the advantage of a weaker schedule this season.

The Braves’ schedule included 4 games against the lackluster Red Sox (Atlanta went 3-1) as a substitute of the Yankees. The Mets played the Yankees 4 times and split.

The Braves’ schedule included only six games against the powerhouse Dodgers (they went 2-4). The Mets played a seventh game against the Dodgers, going 4-3.

The Braves’ schedule included 10 home games against the Mets and nine road games, which in itself may not be a giant deal except that head-to-head competition served because the tiebreaker for the division. The Braves went 7-3 against the Mets in Atlanta. The Mets went 6-3 against the Braves in Recent York. Possibly home field was an element.

A well-deserved honor

Mets TV broadcaster Gary Cohen.Gary Cohen has broadcast Mets games on the radio and TV for greater than 30 years, and now might even see that work recognized by the Hall of Fame.AP

Gary Cohen’s name appears on the newest ballot for the Ford C. Frick award, which is presented each summer in the course of the Hall of Fame ceremonies for baseball broadcasting excellence. Lindsey Nelson, Bob Murphy and Tim McCarver are past Mets recipients. Cohen, who has spent greater than three many years within the Mets broadcast booth, is due for the popularity. His fastball stays sharp. That was evidenced during a recent SNY broadcast with newcomer Jerry Blevins that took Cohen out of his comfort zone of working with Ron Darling and Keith Hernandez. Cohen arrange Blevins nicely, getting essentially the most out of the previous Mets reliever.

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